The Currency War Has Begun: China and the US Fight for Bitcoin

Trump’s executive order unleashed a geopolitical race between Washington and Beijing to dominate the digital asset set to redefine the global monetary system by 2028, eroding dollar hegemony.

The Geopolitical Battle for Digital Dominance

Global financial stability is under scrutiny in a new, quiet currency war. The battlefield is not the traditional markets, but the most disruptive digital asset in history: Bitcoin. According to a detailed analysis, the conflict was ignited following a hypothetical executive order by President Trump in January 2025, aimed at establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve with an accumulation goal of one million BTC.

While interpreted by the media as “pro-crypto” policy, Washington’s move was, in essence, a declaration of economic war. The goal: to replicate with Bitcoin the same weapon of dominance that the US has wielded for 75 years through the dollar, by imposing sanctions and controlling the global payment system (SWIFT).

China Responds: National Mobilization and Secret Accumulation

The Chinese Communist Party leadership quickly perceived the threat as existential. For Beijing, Trump’s action aimed to turn Bitcoin from a neutral alternative to dollar hegemony into another simple “American proxy currency”. China’s response has unfolded in a four-pronged strategic plan:

1. Large-Scale Mining Mobilization

Despite the 2021 ban, state-controlled Bitcoin mining never completely ceased. Following the Trump order, China quietly lifted provincial restrictions, redirecting its vast and often surplus power generation capacity (the world’s largest) toward BTC mining farms.

The goal is to reclaim 20-30% of the global hash rate by the end of 2026, which could add over 150,000 Bitcoin to government and military holdings by 2028, seeking to counter US dominance.

2. Over-The-Counter (OTC) Market Purchases

China holds the largest foreign exchange reserves in the world ($3.2 trillion), much of it in US Treasury bonds, an asset it seeks to diversify away from. State-controlled investment entities have begun acquiring large volumes of Bitcoin through OTC desks, using intermediaries in jurisdictions like Singapore and Switzerland. It is estimated that up to $30 billion could be allocated to Bitcoin accumulation over the next three years, potentially positioning China with over 500,000 BTC by 2028.

3. Bitcoin-Backed Digital Yuan (eCNY)

The digital yuan (eCNY) has seen low international adoption due to global distrust of a currency entirely controlled by the Communist Party. The new strategy is to position the eCNY as partially “backed by Bitcoin reserves”. This move would position the digital yuan as “harder money” than the fiat dollar, attracting countries seeking to circumvent the Western system (Russia, Iran, Venezuela), and using Bitcoin as counterparty-risk-free collateral.

4. BRICS Coordination and Parallel Currency

China is spearheading the proposal for a BRICS Bitcoin Reserve Fund, a collective accumulation (target of 500,000 to 1 million BTC) to back trade among alliance members (including Russia, India, Iran, UAE, and others). This parallel financial system, backed by Bitcoin and gold, would allow nearly half the world to trade without needing to use the dollar or the SWIFT system—the worst-case scenario for American hegemony.

A New Monetary Order: The Modern “Bancor”

The battle for Bitcoin dominance echoes the 1944 debate at Bretton Woods, where the dollar was established as the world’s reserve currency. Economist John Maynard Keynes then proposed a neutral reserve currency, the Bancor, which was rejected in favor of the US plan. Today, Bitcoin is the modern Bancor, an apolitical, fixed-supply asset that threatens the US’s “exorbitant privilege” of printing the reserve currency.

The outcome of this war will not be a unilateral victory but a stalemate that will lead to a multipolar monetary order by 2028. The world will bifurcate:

  • Western System: Based on the dollar, Treasury bonds, and traditional allies (NATO, Japan, South Korea).

  • Eastern System: Based on BRICS, the Bitcoin-backed digital yuan, and Petro-Bitcoin trade (gradual acceptance of BTC for energy payments).

In this new paradigm, the dollar will transition from the undisputed majority reserve to just a participant. Bitcoin will establish itself as the neutral settlement layer, the asset both sides are fighting to possess, ensuring its role as the ultimate reserve is inevitable.

By Orlando J. Gutierrez

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