{"id":8102,"date":"2024-04-10T13:50:47","date_gmt":"2024-04-10T19:50:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/?p=8102"},"modified":"2024-04-10T13:53:02","modified_gmt":"2024-04-10T19:53:02","slug":"fed-rate-cuts-on-hold-as-inflation-heats-up-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/fed-rate-cuts-on-hold-as-inflation-heats-up-again\/economy\/middlemennetwork\/","title":{"rendered":"Los recortes de tipos de la Fed se mantienen en suspenso mientras la inflaci\u00f3n se calienta (otra vez)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-sourcepos=\"3:1-3:71\"><span style=\"color: #ffcc00;\"><strong>Los inversores reducen las expectativas tras una serie de datos de inflaci\u00f3n intensos<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"9:1-9:114\">Este art\u00edculo explora el cambio dram\u00e1tico en las expectativas de los inversores sobre los recortes de las tasas de inter\u00e9s de la Reserva Federal en 2024.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"11:1-11:210\">A principios de a\u00f1o, el consenso preve\u00eda seis recortes por un total de 1,5 puntos porcentuales. Sin embargo, una serie de lecturas de inflaci\u00f3n superiores a las esperadas y un s\u00f3lido informe de empleo han trastocado esas predicciones.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"13:1-13:229\">Los contratos de swap ahora sugieren que la tasa de la Fed ser\u00e1 s\u00f3lo 40 puntos b\u00e1sicos m\u00e1s baja para fin de a\u00f1o en comparaci\u00f3n con el 5,33% actual. Los operadores de opciones incluso apuestan por un solo recorte este a\u00f1o, y los bancos de Wall Street est\u00e1n revisando sus previsiones.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"15:1-15:192\">Los rendimientos de los bonos del Tesoro en todos los vencimientos se han disparado: el rendimiento a dos a\u00f1os, sensible a las pol\u00edticas, salt\u00f3 22 puntos b\u00e1sicos y el bono de referencia a 10 a\u00f1os super\u00f3 el 4,5% por primera vez desde noviembre.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"17:1-17:234\">Estos acontecimientos se producen tras la publicaci\u00f3n del tercer informe consecutivo de inflaci\u00f3n superior a lo esperado, junto con un s\u00f3lido informe de empleo de marzo. A principios de marzo, los mercados anticipaban tres recortes de la Reserva Federal este a\u00f1o, a partir de junio.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"19:1-19:187\">\"Parece que estamos en una situaci\u00f3n en la que la inflaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda estabilizarse en torno al 3%, lo que llevar\u00eda a la Reserva Federal a mantenerse estable\", dice Campe Goodman, gestor de cartera de renta fija de Wellington Management Co.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"21:1-21:278\">Los s\u00f3lidos datos econ\u00f3micos y las persistentes presiones inflacionarias est\u00e1n obligando a todos a realizar una reevaluaci\u00f3n, desde los estrategas de Wall Street hasta los propios funcionarios de la Reserva Federal. A pesar de que las tasas de inter\u00e9s exceden en m\u00e1s del doble el supuesto nivel neutral, la inflaci\u00f3n sigue siendo un desaf\u00edo persistente.<\/p>\n<p data-sourcepos=\"23:1-23:296\">Mientras que Goldman Sachs pospuso su previsi\u00f3n de recortes a julio desde junio, Barclays predice ahora s\u00f3lo una reducci\u00f3n este a\u00f1o. El exsecretario del Tesoro de Estados Unidos, Lawrence Summers, colaborador de Bloomberg Television, advierte que los mercados deben \u201cconsiderar seriamente\u201d la posibilidad de que la Reserva Federal vuelva a subir las tasas.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Los inversores reducen las expectativas tras una serie de datos de inflaci\u00f3n intensos<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8103,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[83,14,8],"tags":[90,143,89,144],"class_list":["post-8102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commerce","category-cryptos","category-economy","tag-federal-reserve","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-treasury-yields"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8102","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8102"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8102\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8104,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8102\/revisions\/8104"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8103"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/middlemen.network\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}